I think I have found a new favorite thought leader.
Daniel Kahneman – good stuff! There’s an article on inc.com that lists his Top 20 Quotes. The link is at the bottom of the post if you want to see the whole thing, but here are my favs!
Just a big amen on this one:
“A reliable way to make people believe in falsehoods is frequent repetition, because familiarity is not easily distinguished from truth. Authoritarian institutions and marketers have always known this fact.”
I know I have a delusional sense of significance. Good to know its good for something!
“… I believe that someone who lacks a delusional sense of significance will wilt in the face of repeated experiences of multiple small failures and rare successes, the fate of most researchers.”
Research shows that humans are pattern-seekers. It’s a survival instinct to try to detect life-threatening events before they happen. But we often see patterns even when none are there:
“We are prone to overestimate how much we understand about the world and to underestimate the role of chance in events.”
No comment; just applause:
“Jonathan Haidt said in another context, ‘The emotional tail wags the rational dog’.”
This is enlightening. I always wondered how confident people got to where they are. My version of this: “I’m not confident; just comfortable in my lack of confidence.”
“Declarations of high confidence mainly tell you that an individual has constructed a coherent story in his mind, not necessarily that the story is true.”
Yes, yes! So much yes! This presidential election is evidence that the loudest voices take precedence even when they’re wrong:
“Before an issue is discussed, all members of the committee should be asked to write a very brief summary of their position. This procedure makes good use of the value of the diversity of knowledge and opinion in the group. The standard practice of open discussion gives too much weight to the opinions of those who speak early and assertively, causing others to line up behind them.”
This has been 100% my experience in corporate America:
“Experts who acknowledge the full extent of their ignorance may expect to be replaced by more confident competitors, who are better able to gain the trust of clients. An unbiased appreciation of uncertainty is a cornerstone of rationality–but it is not what people and organizations want.”
Here’s a link to the full article with Daniel Kahneman’s Top 20 Quotes.